I'm one of those people who like to sit home on the night of a federal
election and watch the results come in. Last night, after the bowls (Ruth
"Less" took the inaugural women's title in stunning style) I watched the
bloodsport in real time. Bloody it was. The
ABC is still showing that labour has
pretty-much matched it primary vote from last time (a +.03% swing with 77.7%
counted) but has consistenly lost ground in important marginals.
I live in the
suddenly-marginal
seat of Bonner. It's a new seat based on redistributions, but it seems the
sitting member Con Sciacca
had his choice and believed it would be a safe bet. He's currently behind by
a very small margin in counting.
It has been an interesting campaign. One based on "trust", which in politics
is code for "mistrust" and for "fear". A cabbie on morning television described
the situation simply with the familiar phrase "If it ain't broke, don't fix it".
It's a fair comment. When we have had a booming economy for so long, and noone
you know is suffering from particularly bad times... well, why change?
In acknowledging the oncoming defeat throughout the night several Labour
stalwarts talked about the Liberal interest rates scare campagin, calling it
a lie. A lie that was swallowed by the electorate, but a lie nonetheless. It
was a lie, but only if taken on face value. The Liberal party knew what it
meant, and the electorate knew what it meant. I suppose the Labour party knew
what it meant, also. It again was code. Code for "He's crazy". For, "He's got
an economy and he doesn't know what to do with it!". "He could ruin everything
you've built!". It was not a lie. It was simply hysteria-building. Interest
rates are a great trigger for hysteria, because it is something outside the
influence of individuals that they tend to have sleepless nights over. It's
something that affects them far more than tax policy, but which they don't
understand and can't control.
Those two messages, the "You feel safe with John" message and the "He's got
a gun!" message penetrated deeply. Labour's response of "Money's not being
spent on the right things", and "The rich are getting richer" didn't really
have the same impact. In the economic and political climate of today, it is far
easier to vilify those who aren't keeping pace than to vilify those who are
too far ahead. We aren't a nation of people who want to live at the same
standard as our neighbour (were we ever?). We want to be ahead.
In comes family first, and the collapse of the democrats. A polarising
campaign in the Senate. To me this is the big news of the election. We knew
that the democrats have been falling apart. I personally wasn't particularly
aware of the emergence of family first. On the surface they appear to be the
beginning of the emergence in Australia of an american-style christian right.
Most commentators are comparing their probable behaviour in the senate to that
of Brian Harradine.
I didn't vote for this party. It's not because I don't want to see christians
in positions of political power. It's that in my opinion most christians who
actively seek political power are not worthy of it. This is no doubt true of
all people, but when secular politicians seek power I am not pressured to vote
for them as individuals by those I know. When secular politicians make bad
decisions it doesn't impact negatively on the perception of my faith. When
secular politicians fail, it is not translated into a failure of my people.
I come from a grass-roots church where power is rarely sought. People are
chosen, but they are not seen as gods on earth. They serve. That's what leaders
are supposed to do. When service opens the door to a power trip everything
starts to go to hell. I don't want to be identified with that.
I suppose now is a good time to throw in my results from a
"personality test"
:
| One Nation | 25% |
| National Party | 27% |
| Liberal Party | 47% |
| Labor Party | 69% |
| Democrats | 77% |
| Greens | 75% |
I voted pretty-much according to that table (I voted before taking this test).
On the house of representitives paper I voted for the greens, democrats and
labour before liberal. I had to think carefully about the last three spots.
Family First scares me at the moment, but it was that against One Nation and
the
"Citezens Electoral Council",
a US-based political cult who's policy agenda
is "A national bank: A people's bank", who think that the royal family of
Britain is behind the global drug trade and behind global organised crime, and
who believe that everyone but them are "facists". Tricky choice.
I didn't number all 50 spots on the senate paper. I figured that believing
in a strong senate and seeing a Democrats collapse I'd go with whatever the
Greens wanted to do with our beloved upper house. I guess that wasn't the
opinion of most, though. The real news of the election evening
was that its possible that by July the government will have a real or
effective balance of power in the sentate.
I'm almost looking forward to that prospect, to be honest. We've seen three
terms of the Liberal government so far, but each has been tempered by moderate
voices. I'm almost looking forward to seeing the Liberals in full swing. I think
that that exuberance, combined with a likely downturning economy next time might
just be enough to get a change of government in this country regardless of what
Labour does.
Oh well. In the end it has been a poor showing for the parties I would have
liked to see in power, but like many Australians the pit of my stomache is
actually leaning towards the liberals again this time around. I hate what
they've done with the good name of Australia internationally over the last
three terms, but it's hard to argue Labour in the same position would have
acted differently. I hate what they're doing to the health and education
systems, but maybe if they could get their whole agenda through things would
balance out. I favour their industrial relations policies to some extent. I
favour some of their economic policies to some extent. I think they're the
right people to have in power during an economic upswing. When it comes to
the bust, though... I think Labour is the better party to have in power.
Benjamin